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Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Outlook Still Bright After Six Weeks of Gains

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EURUSD Chart

Supply: IG Charts

Elementary Euro Forecast: Bullish

  • After climbing strongly since mid-Could, EUR/USD is sure to falter in some unspecified time in the future.
  • Nonetheless, with the US economic system spluttering and the November election coming nearer, it’s onerous to determine any purpose why EUR/USD’s advance ought to finish quickly.

Euro worth outlook nonetheless rosy

Because the chart beneath exhibits, EUR/USD has now made headway for the final six weeks and for 9 of the previous 11 weeks. After an increase like that there have to be a interval of consolidation or retracement ultimately – the issue is to determine a catalyst, and none jumps to thoughts.

EUR/USD Worth Chart, Weekly Timeframe (December 4, 2017 – July 30, 2020)

EURUSD

Chart by IG (You’ll be able to click on on it for a bigger picture)

EUR/USD BEARISH

Knowledge offered by

of purchasers are internet lengthy. of purchasers are internet quick.

Change in Longs Shorts OI
Every day -9% -18% -16%
Weekly 4% -20% -13%

EUR/USD is already at ranges final seen between Could and September 2018, with final week’s dire US GDP information for the second quarter and President Donald Trump’s “delay the election” tweet including to the explanations to remain properly clear of the US Greenback. The important thing query due to this fact – after when a retracement will come – is simply how excessive EUR/USD may go.

One reply is the realm round 1.23, the place it traded between late January and mid-April 2018. For certain that’s a good distance away however continues to be an inexpensive goal for later this 12 months – maybe after the standard August lull.

Week forward: PMIs, NFPs

Trying to the week forward, there’s little Eurozone information to maneuver the markets, with solely the ultimate manufacturing and providers PMIs for the area in July due on Monday and Wednesday respectively. As soon as once more, due to this fact, it would probably be the USD aspect of the equation that drives EUR/USD – with Friday’s non-farm payrolls information the choose of the week’s financial statistics.

Should you’d prefer to know extra about NFPs and the best way to trade the discharge, we’ve an article right here you may discover helpful

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Reside now:

Aug 04

( 10:08 GMT )

Beneficial by Martin Essex, MSTA

Buying and selling Sentiment

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— Written by Martin Essex, Analyst and Editor

Be happy to contact me on Twitter @MartinSEssex

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